Image: NHSO

For a country with nearly a dozen prime ministers in two decades and a knack for constitutional crises, Thailand is surprisingly good at keeping people alive. Political stability may be elusive but health care is not. While parliaments collapse and cabinets reshuffle, Thais continue to live longer, healthier lives than many richer compatriots. At 80, their life expectancy beats both the South-East Asian average (73) and that of Americans and Europeans.

It is an achievement all the more impressive given Thailand’s modest means. With a per capita income of about $7,182, the country devotes just 6% of its GDP to health care, roughly one-third of what America splurges for far worse results. Coverage is nearly universal; infant mortality has plummeted; and even rural hospitals hum with basic competence. The real marvel is Thailand provides health care to all without bankrupting itself.

Nepal, a country of similar economic heft but far worse outcomes, might want to take notes.

Thailand’s success did not emerge from a vacuum. Fears of a red tide in the 1970s—communist insurgencies were then blooming across South-East Asia—spurred Bangkok into action. One response was to invest heavily in rural infrastructure, particularly health. By 1990 every district in Thailand had a hospital. Another was the deployment of medical graduates to rural areas, ensuring the countryside did not merely receive medicine but also those who could prescribe it. This created a “golden generation” of public doctors with dirt under their fingernails and experience in the field.

In 2002 came the political masterstroke: a universal coverage scheme that guaranteed free treatment to the poor and a symbolic 30-baht fee to everyone else. It was cheap and popular and politically untouchable. Like Britain’s NHS, the Thai system acquired a kind of sacred status. No government since has dared to gut it.

Nepal, by contrast, has pursued a more improvisational path. Health policy lurches with donor fashions and electoral cycles. Public spending on health is a dismal 2.5% of GDP. Nearly 60% of Nepalis rely on out-of-pocket payments, often catastrophic. Basic services are patchy, doctors scarce and, worse, access unequal. Life expectancy has improved—from 54 in 1990 to 71 today—but lags behind regional peers. That a Thai villager in Chiang Rai can expect to outlive a banker in Kathmandu says something about systemic rot.

Thailand’s health system is generous and well-governed. Crucial to its success is the principle of capitation: hospitals are given a fixed budget per patient, regardless of how much care the patient requires. The result is rare discipline in resource allocation. Incentives are aligned to avoid unnecessary treatments while still promoting access. Preventive care is not an afterthought but a foundational plank. Networks of community health volunteers provide basic check-ups, maternal advice and disease monitoring at the village level.

Nepal has flirted with similar ideas—community-health workers and insurance exist—but these remain underfunded and overstretched. A pilot scheme rarely survives long enough to become policy; if it does, implementation is half-hearted. Where Thailand institutionalised health care, Nepal politicised it. Provincial governments struggle to recruit or retain doctors. Budget allocations are opaque. And health-insurance schemes are marred by corruption and confusion.

Even Thailand’s bureaucracy, often the butt of jokes, displays a degree of stoicism rare in the region. The National Health Security Office (NHSO), the body overseeing universal coverage, operates with an enviable blend of autonomy and accountability. Nepal meanwhile is still trying to figure out who is in charge of what. Decentralisation, introduced in 2015, was supposed to empower provinces. In practice it has produced a muddle of overlapping mandates and finger-pointing.

Thailand’s model is no panacea. An ageing population threatens to stretch the system. Doctors complain of burnout. Budgets may yet buckle under demographic pressure. Yet the architecture of the system—universal, tax-funded, preventive and decentralised—has withstood coups, protests as well as pandemics. Other countries are taking notice. Earlier this year Saudi Arabia signed a cooperation deal with Bangkok. Thai health delegations are in demand from Dakar to Dhaka.

Nepal, too, is ripe for reform. It does not lack ideas; it lacks follow-through. A serious attempt to replicate Thailand’s core pillars—rural investment, compulsory service, capitation funding and a politically insulated health authority—would not be cheap or easy. But nor was Thailand’s effort. What it shows is smart design, backed by long-term commitment, can produce Nordic outcomes on a rice-bowl budget.

Whether Nepal’s fractious politics can stomach such discipline is another matter. Nepali policymakers are better at commissioning foreign consultants than building hospitals. But if they tire of reinventing the wheel, a working prototype already exists next door. Thailand presents inspiration and a revolutionary truth: health care is not a luxury in the developing world. It is a choice. ■