TO HEAR Nepali officials lament the flight of their brightest minds is to hear a common dirge. Each year thousands of graduates and professionals leave for opportunities abroad, from the Gulf’s construction sites and Romania’s coffee shops to America’s tech hubs. The narrative paints a picture of loss, a haemorrhage of talent holding the nation back. That view may be outdated. A closer look at the data suggests these emigrants form an untapped national asset, a reservoir of capital, connections and knowledge. The question for Nepal is how to capture their potential.

The potential shows up in a scatter plot from a World Bank development report. It maps countries by the size and success of their highly skilled diaspora in Western Europe and North America. Nations with many emigrants in high-value “manager, professional or technician” roles appear in the coveted top-right quadrant. Nepal’s position is striking. It sends a substantial number of tertiary-educated citizens abroad, and a respectable share secure good jobs. This places it among countries with strong potential for knowledge spillovers. The emigrants are not driving taxis: they are embedded in advanced economies, absorbing modern practices and technologies. The outflow could be treated as a long-term investment.

Capturing that dividend does not happen automatically though. It depends on the environment at home. A diaspora is most likely to invest ideas and capital where it sees dynamism and opportunity. Here Nepal faces a difficulty common to many middle-income countries: entrenched incumbency. As the World Bank points out, economies at this stage become dominated by a few powerful players—established business groups, state-owned enterprises as well as restrictive social norms. These incumbents, comfortable in their power, can block the change returning talent might bring.

Take the electricity sector. In many developing countries, state-owned utilities control generation and the grid, forming a formidable barrier for new entrants, especially in renewables. Nepal’s energy market has been defined by similar dominance and chronic shortage. A returning engineer with experience in distributed solar or grid management could face a market foreclosed by legacy structures and complex access pricing. The report notes that in comparable contexts, from South Africa to Poland, such incumbents use their market share and political influence to stall technological change.

The wider regulatory environment shields the old guard. Product market rules, intentionally or not, raise barriers to entry. In Italy, as firms grow dominant they hire more local politicians and innovate less. The instinct is preservation not creation. Nepal must examine its web of licenses, standards and administrative hurdles. Do these rules ensure quality or do they simply protect established firms from the disruptive energy a diaspora could bring?

Turning brain drain into gain therefore depends on a twin strategy. First, make the domestic economy contestable. This means updating institutions to weaken forces that favour preservation. It involves reducing the state’s involvement in commercial enterprise where it stifles competition, and challenging norms that hold back half the population. Female labour force participation in Nepal is low; changing this is a social as well as economic opportunity, doubling the pool of talent and consumer demand. As seen in Saudi Arabia and Bangladesh, when women enter the workforce in large numbers, growth accelerates.

Second, actively cultivate the diaspora link. This goes past nostalgic appeals for remittances. It means building channels for knowledge exchange and investment. Albania created a virtual research centre, NanoAlb, connecting its global scientific diaspora with institutions at home. Chile and Costa Rica ran supplier development programmes that linked small local firms with larger ones, including multinationals: a model that could connect diaspora-led foreign firms with Nepali partners. Policy should encourage the diaspora to act as bridges to global value chains, and not just as ATMs.

The final element is preparing for return. China’s Thousand Talents programme provides one example, though buying back talent with tax breaks produces mixed results. More sustainable is fostering an environment where innovation is rewarded. That includes strong competition authorities to prevent anti-competitive practices and fiscal policies that reduce inequality without discouraging entrepreneurship. The goal is to make Nepal a place where new ideas can take root and scale, rather than be blocked by monopolies or bureaucracy.

Nepal’s diaspora demonstrates the drive and capability of its people. For decades that energy has been exported. The task now is to create a magnetic pull, a domestic environment vibrant and open enough to attract that energy home. This calls for boldness to challenge comfortable incumbents and make space for dynamic creators. The brains have drained; the difficulty is to prepare fertile ground for their productive return. ■